Agreed. The best way to not get run over is to not be there for the occasion. With a bit of practice, the time and location of those future events are significantly predictable.
Since I spend 50 hours a week with unexperienced drivers in a car, having to stop them from killing someone and stop other people from killing us, it is somehwat easier for me. I know what mistakes people make, where they make them, and I also understand why. I can't explain how, but sometimes I just know, that car is going to do this.
Like in the roundabout the other day. The other car is in the inner lane, there is two lanes to exit, I am in the outer lane. I know he will switch lanes on his way out of the roundabout, for no reason at all, so I hold back. I knew it from I saw him. Most people doesn't do that, but that car was going to.
It's not the subject of the article, which goes to some effort to explain a problem but "most of the time"? Good luck with that... You might predict it but even so, predicting doesn't stop them from leaping into your path...Unless maybe you want to come to a full stop on the roadway on the strength of your "prediction". Which would be confusing.
and How do you know they are confused? and If they think about me at all , how is that a bad thing for me?
I would rather try to be "noted" and "remembered" before avoidance is necessary, which is anyways an assumption that you CAN avoid it.... eg: Being crushed under the the large truck beside you is not an avoidance option nor is riding off the cliff face , into a parked car etc etc.
as for "looking like a christmas tree",( without getting a ticket for non-compliance) well, I can't see it from my perspective in my helmet and if it saves me just once, it's worth it. Pain Hurts.
and...I've seen and passed many many tractors on the highways . Not once did I think it was a motorcycle. A house-moving down the road- now, that is confusing when you see it the first time...
I am fairly good at predicting what people do in traffic, its my full time profession. But you are right, I do get it wrong sometimes.
I strongly disagree I have to stop to avoid someone from running into my path. I never meet a car, bus, or bike in an intersection, I adjust my speed to avoid meeting them so they could T-bone me. I can speed up, and go through before them, or slightly slow down to get there after them. Neither requiring stopping, both eliminates the risk of being t-boned.
I will never stay next to a car in a lane, I realize some places you have to, but luckily I don't here. I assume every bus and semi is actively trying to kill me, and make sure I have enough space to avoid it.
Stopping in general is something I don't like in traffic. Thank God we don't use stop signs in Norway, so the general rule is NEVER STOP MOVING. Adjusting the speed means not having to stop.
A person not understanding WHAT you are is far more likely to forget or ignore you. I know this, I see my students mess this up all the time. If they don't understand, they ignore/forget, and that is not good for you.
I am not putting my bike next to a truck if I don't have an escape path.
Christmas tree is like blinking bicycle lights, counter productive. It makes it less safe.
Ofcourse not, you are experienced. Many people in traffic isn't. In my tiny city they have 8-16 new drivers every day. Its terrifying. I wouldnt trust half of them to drive me to the airport. inexperienced and poor drivers needs things to be OBVIOUS. Any ambiguity is dangerous.